Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 7.494397e-05 0.000090 0.000107 0.000126 0.000147 0.000169 0.000195
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 5.238533e-05 0.000072 0.000094 0.000121 0.000152 0.000187 0.000230
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 4.354202e-05 0.000065 0.000090 0.000123 0.000162 0.000207 0.000262
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 3.424206e-05 0.000056 0.000084 0.000121 0.000167 0.000222 0.000290
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.710307e-05 0.000049 0.000078 0.000118 0.000169 0.000231 0.000309
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.119826e-05 0.000042 0.000072 0.000115 0.000171 0.000240 0.000330
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.726504e-05 0.000038 0.000069 0.000114 0.000175 0.000251 0.000351
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.448987e-05 0.000035 0.000067 0.000115 0.000181 0.000266 0.000377
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.165929e-05 0.000031 0.000064 0.000114 0.000184 0.000275 0.000396
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 8.668159e-06 0.000027 0.000058 0.000109 0.000182 0.000278 0.000408
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 7.070318e-06 0.000025 0.000056 0.000109 0.000187 0.000289 0.000430
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 4.854033e-06 0.000020 0.000051 0.000103 0.000182 0.000289 0.000436
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.804562e-06 0.000019 0.000050 0.000105 0.000190 0.000307 0.000469
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.363734e-06 0.000015 0.000045 0.000101 0.000190 0.000313 0.000487
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.735763e-06 0.000014 0.000044 0.000103 0.000197 0.000329 0.000517
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.098697e-06 0.000012 0.000042 0.000102 0.000200 0.000340 0.000542
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.728840e-07 0.000010 0.000039 0.000099 0.000199 0.000345 0.000558
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.683754e-07 0.000008 0.000036 0.000096 0.000200 0.000353 0.000577
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.139850e-07 0.000007 0.000034 0.000095 0.000202 0.000362 0.000598
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.995828e-08 0.000006 0.000033 0.000096 0.000209 0.000377 0.000628
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 8.702199e-09 0.000005 0.000031 0.000095 0.000210 0.000386 0.000649
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000004 0.000028 0.000091 0.000208 0.000388 0.000660
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000004 0.000027 0.000091 0.000212 0.000399 0.000685